Visualizing The Market Cycle

Visualizing The Market Cycle

Is it possible to time the market cycle to capture big gains? Like many controversial topics in investing, there is no real professional consensus on market timing. Academics claim that it’s not possible, while traders and chartists swear by the idea. That said, as VisualCapitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes, one thing that everyone can probably agree on is that markets are cyclical and that securities do have recurring chart patterns. They aren’t predictable all of the time, but learning the fundamentals around market cycles can only help an investor in furthering…

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Fundamental Analysis: GBP/USD – 29th March 2016

Fundamental Analysis: GBP/USD – 29th March 2016

Yes, we have seen a 125 pip rally of GBP/USD pair partly due to UK data right before the Good Friday holidays in most of the major markets and at the same time slight misses in US consumption and inflation, followed by the long weekend. This meant that GBP had more than its fair chance to rally. Speculators themselves must have had a part to play in that, especially the technical speculators. Have a look at the following technical diagram, which projects the possibility of a further upwards movement. The…

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EUR/JPY better bid on weaker Yen, 127.20 tested

EUR/JPY better bid on weaker Yen, 127.20 tested

The cross in the EUR/JPY is prolongs its upward trajectory for the fourth straight session and clocks fresh twelve-day highs above 127 handle in the Asian session. EUR/JPY supported above 50-DMA at 126.72 The EUR/JPY pair trades +0.08% higher at 127.11, having printed fresh more than two-week highs at 127.20 in the last hour. The EUR/JPY cross remains better bid this session as the yen once again lost footing against the greenback, while the EUR/USD pair halted a minor corrective slide and regained 1.12 barrier and provided the much-needed impetus to the…

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Technical Analysis: NZD/USD retakes 0.67

Technical Analysis: NZD/USD retakes 0.67

Mon, 28 Mar 2016 13:33:52 GMT Source: Dukascopy Bank SA © Dukascopy Bank SA “The dollar will be highly sensitive to U.S. data this week ahead of payrolls. The dollar is prone to react more to positive U.S. economic news.” – Ueda Harlow Ltd. (based on Bloomberg)  Pair’s Outlook  The NZD/USD currency pair retreated upon reaching the 20-day SMA on Friday , while positive US GDP data caused the NZ Dollar to edge 20 pips lower. The Kiwi is now set to retake the 0.67 psychological level, with the closest…

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Fri, 25 Mar 2016

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Fri, 25 Mar 2016

 USD/JPY closes in on channel’s resistance Fri, 25 Mar 2016 08:31:07 GMT Source: Dukascopy Bank SA © Dukascopy Bank SA “The higher dollar trend is becoming more evident against the yen. But the move broadly remains within an adjustment from the post-Fed bearishness.” – Jun Kato, Shinkin Asset Management (based on Bloomberg) Pair’s Outlook The US Dollar was able to outperform the Japanese Yen on Thursday, with the 20-day SMA limiting the gains. The same level is acting as the closest resistance today, thus, might trigger a sell-off, erasing most…

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Technical Analysis – Fri, 25 Mar 2016

Technical Analysis – Fri, 25 Mar 2016

GBP/USD risks falling under 1.41 Fri, 25 Mar 2016 08:09:05 GMT Source: Dukascopy Bank SA © Dukascopy Bank SA “Until the referendum takes place in June, we view the risk to our estimates of a weaker pound as standing to the downside, although we would note that the market is already starting from a net short position, whereas short cable became a more popular trade only around 10 days before the Scottish referendum in September 2014.” – Goldman Sachs (based on Business Recorder) Pair’s Outlook The Cable managed to recover…

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